What Do I Believe
This project is a collection of beliefs and my confidence in how much I thing them to be true. I only track beliefs here that I find to be interesting, important or my confidence changes is them frequently.
The plan here is for me to routinely check over all these ideas, add more and constantly adjust my confidence in them giving reasons for the change. With the goal of helping me gain more accurate beliefs, focussing on the beliefs I think may have the biggest impact for me.
I want to keep the explanations here short so reading reviewing the whole list is quicker. Any explanations I think warrant more discussion will have their own article associated with them. Or will have more detail in the Updates Section below.
NOTE: After copying the initial titles and % from the old location I need to go through each of these adding some justifications.
99% - All religions are wrong about their ideas of afterlife, God, creation and all the magical sounding stuff
70% - Religion does more long term harm for humanity than good
60% - Privacy is unnecessary unless it's specifically related to preventing criminal activity
70% - It's good to positively discriminate when it comes to tackling discrimination
95% - Nothing really matters so focus on enjoying your life
60% - Companies do more good for the world than governments
80% - In general everything keeps getting better
50% - Technological advances will get to a point this century where we will be able to live for thousands of years
60% - Within this century the human race will either go extinct or we'll all be able to live for thousands of years
40% - It's immoral to eat meat
Lower due to Nothing really matters so focus on enjoying your life. Otherwise I'd put it much higher. Around 70%.
10% - We are living in a simulation
95% - Capital punishment should be banned everywhere
70% - Patriotism is bad for humanity
70% - Genetic engineering is okay
70% - It's okay not to vote if you think any of the parties that could get in are fine
5% - The physical world does not exist it is a figment of my own mind
10% - I am the only concious being
80% - We do not have free will
85% - Conciousness can be entirely explained by the physical processes that occur in our brain
90% - It will be possible to transfer our minds into the machine
2021-02-07 - 2021-02-07
Moved the beliefs from "Unusual opinions" post into here. Removed the ones that were just in there because they were unusual and kept the ones that are more important to me. Just copied across the titles for now. Will fill in some details and think a bit more about them later.